I appreciate that yes and you gave me a great education there.. two questions off what you said
would like to understand how you got 66-1 on an 8-1 final odds.. I guess it's something you got in early on and was bet down from a high ml?
how about getting precise amounts down if you're a big player ( this is not me.. just want to understand how things work).. let's say I'm willing to lay 1500 on a 5 (4-1).. first off do I have the terminology right?
if somebody is interested in that do they have to come in for the whole 300..is it possible nobody will take it.. is this something I have to be actively involved in in the 10 minutes approaching post time?? (I'm guessing yes no pun intended lol)
I have asked this before somewhere else and was told no.. do some people who do this try to get involved hours or more in advance.. if I think a 10-1 is going off lower can I try to lock him in at ml or higher?
so lets keep it simple and talk numbers
you play the bookie when laying . so lets say you want to lay 1000.00 on a 4-1 shot . Your liabity( what you need to have in your account) is 5000.00 . Think about like this , the player taking the bet will cash in total 5000.00 if he bets 1000.00 dollars on a 4-1 so you have to have it covered . got it . If the horse loses , you win and cash 1000.00 less their commision.
How I got 66-1 on a horse is I put in a (back) bet at those odds and there is always some other player out there that thinks my judgement is poor on the analysis of that horse and he will match the bet. So lets say I put n a back bet for 20.00 , in order for me to get it matched some other guy or gal must have a liabity of 1340.00 in case my horse wins.
remember there are so many people you are playing against that if you get 10 players matching your bet at 2.00 each then it will get matched . It doesn' t necessarily have to be matched by one individual. Understand??
This is why it is so effective for the knowledgebale player
the best part about it is you don't have to be involved at all from 10 mtp and downwards. just place your odds in , and wait to see if it gets matched and go on with your other activities .
yes alot of sharp players go in advance but only on betfair itself. these clone sites do not have the liquidity for even $20 bets , hours before the race. Most handicappers wait to see how the market is shaping up from 10 minutes downwards to make their decisions on how to go.
Where these exchanges are extremely , extremely powerful is if you have a really good understanding of how the toteboard will look like at the OFF. You make a killing because 99 percent of the players out there don't have the skill to project the final prices without the will pays .
The real sharp whale players are on these excahnges all the time especially in uk racing .
There are some really good softwares out there that deal with trading and seeing other players activities as they are pushing in their bets. You would be amazed the bets that get matched and the movement that goes on. For a guy like you it would definately be worth it to get involved . The response from american players was not sufficient enough to keep betfair here in north america as the players just couldn't handle the change . It was very surprising for me as I have studied this element in depth for years . But that is the way it goes
The only time you have to stick around the computer and see how your bets are doing is if you want to trade off bets and make money no matter what happens . lets say you got a 10.00 matched at 15-1 with 10 minutes to post and with 3 minutes onward you start to see the steam come in on this horse and he becomes 5-2 or so near the off(rare but it does happen) . then the lay prices will have to adjust to the market and you could trade it at 5-2 essentially creating a Bonus Bet for yourself so if he wins you cash at 15-1 and if he loses you loose nothing .
So in a nutshell if you are a tremendous judge of price movements in horses the exchanges are for you. There is so much you could do with them and especially if you are a small player who doesn't depend so much on liquidity , it is possbile to make $30.00 daily without too much effort .
I will try and provide some examples here in future so you could see it in action , I believe if handicappers were more informed on the product alot of them would make the switch over . But unfortunately in north america the ideology for most players has been, bet the least to get the most. And in my opinion this is the surest way to the poor house . Just look around all the players you know and the evidence is overwhelming
ok jb any other questions keep firing , nothing is to elementary . I always say to my players(who offer me new and interesting concepts) , explain it to me like i am a 10 y old kid . After that I will let you know how valuable the product is
thanks